France pulls last gold held in US for $15B gain

(mining.com)

104 points | by teleforce 2 hours ago

13 comments

  • cladopa
    1 hour ago
    This is not gain at all. At least in theory: You own some tons of gold at the start of the process, you have the same tons of gold at the end of the process.

    The only real gain is that you have gold in the US custody and the US can be tempted to just use it without telling you anything.

    In other words, you had "paper gold" or "virtual gold" that the US can confiscate anytime, for example after invading Greenland, blackmailing France to do nothing.

    You gain custody of what is yours.

    • tgsovlerkhgsel
      1 hour ago
      From the full press release:

      "In 2025 and at the start of 2026, while the volume of gold reserves remained unchanged, the Banque de France had to align a residual portion (5%) with technical guidelines, resulting in a significant realised currency gain. This exceptional foreign exchange income totalled EUR 11 billion for 2025."

      -- the keyword here likely being "realized"

      • mort96
        17 minutes ago
        Is the logic that it's "unrealised" while the gold is stored in the US but becomes "realised" once it is stored in Paris? Why?
        • PaywallBuster
          4 minutes ago
          You bought it once at X price, it's realized when you sell it, it's unrealized while "open"

          If they held it for 100 years and finally sold it, then profit/loss is realized now

    • michaelt
      27 minutes ago
      Assets like this are one of the complexities in calculating national import and export figures.

      For example, imagine there's some German-owned gold in a UK bank vault, the owners sell it to a UK broker who sells it to a Chinese investor? The physical bars don't move, but on paper it's been imported to the UK then exported.

      But a lot of people looking at export figures are expecting to learn things about the manufacturing industry, and picturing exports as washing machines, cars and computer chips - which imply lots of well paid jobs for skilled labour. So the UK reports import/export figures with 'non-monetary gold' listed separately.

      (The fact flows of gold are highly volatile allows a classic bit of political sleight-of-hand - if you include gold, UK exports are both up and down since Brexit, depending on the pair of dates you choose)

    • coldtea
      59 minutes ago
      As @somenameforme wrote:

      [] they sold their 'non-standard' (seems to be bars below the modern purity standards) US reserves, and replaced them with new reserves purchased elsewhere which are now stored in France. As the price of gold continued to rise as they did this, they ended up making a bunch of dinero while also centralizing their reserves.

      sounds like a gain to me.

      • mort96
        33 minutes ago
        A gain of $15b? That's roughly the value of 100 metric tons of gold, remarkably close to the 129 tons that the article says was moved... did they double the value of their gold?
    • bamboozled
      1 hour ago
      It's more of a loss for the USA, which IMO is the unwritten point of the article.

      France upgraded their gold bars to a new standard and as they were doing that, gold has appreciated massively in price, so France has the new shiny easier to trade bars, and the USA has the old harder to trade bars.

      • tux3
        34 minutes ago
        They can be melted and brought to the modern standard, which is what they did with the rest of their holdings on the old continent. They sold these only because it was cheaper than transporting it.
    • 0dayman
      1 hour ago
      which can be the difference between losing that entire amount or gaining it, and in this situation with this America, this is a big win if they manage to get it back in fact, if it hasn't been stolen or sold already
  • codethief
    50 minutes ago
    Is anyone here actually reading the article? Yes, they really made a gain of $15B:

    > But instead of refining and transporting the gold, it opted to sell the bars and purchase new bullion in Europe. […] Due to rising gold prices, the move helped the bank to generate a capital gain of 13 billion euros ($15 billion),

    • mort96
      38 minutes ago
      This doesn't make sense. If they first sold the bars held in the US, then the gold prices rose, then they bought gold in Europe, how the hell did that amount to a capital gain of $15b? How exactly do prices rising over the course of the process lead to these $15b?
      • codethief
        12 minutes ago
        First thought: Maybe they bought the gold first? Or the gold price was at a temporary high when they sold it?

        Second thought: The numbers don't seem to check out: 129t are 4,147,456.307 troy ounces (1 troy ounce = 31.1034768 g). The total gains of 15e9 USD would thus correspond to gains of $3,616.68 per troy ounce, which seems excessively high, given that today's gold price is at ~$4,712. Even if they sold everything at the current all-time high of $5,589.38 on January 28 (and that's a big if), they would have had to buy for not more than $1,972.70, a price we last had in fall 2023.

        They must have had an exceptional crystal ball!

      • huhtenberg
        29 minutes ago
        Gold is down 10+% since its recent peak. They likely sold then and repurchased later.
        • mort96
          27 minutes ago
          Then they made money thanks to gold prices fluctuating, not thanks to gold prices rising?

          And how does a 10% market shift lead to gaining $15b, roughly the value of 100 tons of gold, from the sale and re-purchase of 129 tons of gold?

          This math ain't mathing.

      • samus
        27 minutes ago
        Dumpling $15B on the market should lead to a drop. Anyway, the gold price is not always going up.
        • mort96
          9 minutes ago
          The claim is that rising gold prices lead to gains of $15b. As in they started with 129 tons of gold in the US, then they sold that and bought gold in Europe, and in the end, due to rising gold prices, they had 129 tons of gold in Paris plus $15b extra cash. Please explain a hypothetical course of events which makes this plausible.

          Keep in mind that 129 tons of gold is worth just a bit more than $15b, so small market fluctuations on the scale of 10% isn't enough by itself.

    • worldvoyageur
      7 minutes ago
      The US gold would have been on the books at the original purchase price, so something like US$35 from 1910 (when a penny had a purchasing power of 38 cents now). Having deemed it more efficient to sell that gold and buy the same amount to replace it, the new gold is on the books at the 2026 purchase price. As the 2026 money price is far higher than the 1910 price, the value on the books shows a dramatic realized capital gain.

      No gain would have shown for the gold that was simply moved, even though in this case the buying and selling was simply a more efficient way of doing the equivalent of moving the gold.

      Gold that was simply moved wouldn't show the same gain.

    • adastra22
      37 minutes ago
      Did they buy before selling? Otherwise that doesn’t make sense.
      • samus
        25 minutes ago
        The gold price is fluctuating. It doesn't always go up.
      • lljk_kennedy
        26 minutes ago
        Sell at high, buy at low?
  • carefree-bob
    1 hour ago
    Good for France to relocate gold back to their own territory, but, uh, how can this result in a 15 B gain?

    "The overall size of France’s gold reserves still remained unchanged at roughly 2,437 tonnes, which are now entirely held at the BdF’s underground vault in La Souterraine."

    Is this some special form of French accounting, where the gold becomes more valuable when it returns to French soil?

    • stackbutterflow
      1 hour ago
      It's gold only if it comes from the Dore région of France. Otherwise it's just sparkling metal.
      • sph
        1 hour ago
        That accent somehow migrated two characters too far.
        • stavros
          1 hour ago
          Nah that's how it's spelled in French.
          • sph
            1 hour ago
            True, but ‘Doré’ means golden, and would make for a better joke.
          • rkomorn
            1 hour ago
            The French part in that sentence should be the name of the region (eg Doré(e) ), not "région", and if you wanted to use the French spelling of "région", you'd have to say "région Dore".

            Using the French spelling of région but the wrong word order doesn't make sense.

            • stavros
              1 hour ago
              Ahh I see, thanks.
      • jjgreen
        43 minutes ago
        True connoisseurs prefer the metal from Lingots.
    • somenameforme
      1 hour ago
      Over about a year they sold their 'non-standard' (seems to be bars below the modern purity standards) US reserves, and replaced them with new reserves purchased elsewhere which are now stored in France. As the price of gold continued to rise as they did this, they ended up making a bunch of dinero while also centralizing their reserves.
      • berkes
        1 hour ago
        > As the price of gold continued to rise as they did this,

        Seems counterintuitive to me. This would only make gains when they bought the new gold before selling the old, or when there's some arbitrage going on between Gold/USD, Gold/EUR and USD/EUR.

        If they first sold the old for USD, then bought the new for USD, with a rising gold price, they'd miss the price-gain during the time between the trades, when they held the USD. It'd be a loss, not a gain.

        If there's some arbitrage going on, then I highly doubt that brings $15B gain. The differences would have to be huge.

        I think the (author (AI)) writing that article is simply mixing up stuff. I think this gain is not a cause-effect of the conversion, merely the gains from rising gold prices on the gold it holds over that period.

        • tux3
          1 hour ago
          The source is a press conference where they state the total amount and total value of gold stored hasn't changed. In le figaro they report the profit is due to variation in price between the different transactions. Which seems to be a polite way to say they took exceptional risk.
          • tonfa
            37 minutes ago
            > In le figaro they report the profit is due to variation in price between the different transactions. Which seems to be a polite way to say they took exceptional risk.

            Nah it's just regular realized gain (delta between acquisition price and selling price).

            https://www.banque-france.fr/fr/actualites/resultats-2025-de...

            (so it's kinda irrelevant, it's just they have to put it in their books)

          • wqaatwt
            1 hour ago
            They repatriated 129 tonnes in total, its was absolutely impossible to make $15B from that since that’s what 129 tonnes are worth in total more or less.
            • andyjohnson0
              18 minutes ago
              They didn't repatriate the gold in the sense of physically moving it from the US to France. Instead, they sold the gold that was held in the US and used the money raised to buy gold from other sources, which is held in France.

              Different gold, and two financial transactions, accounts for gain.

        • wqaatwt
          1 hour ago
          Well they has 129 tonnes in US which happens to be wroth around $15B or so. Probably the author has no clue what they are talking about and grossly misinterpreted..
      • eru
        1 hour ago
        I don't understand this. Did they increase the overall amount of gold they held?
        • KaiserPro
          1 hour ago
          Sold it at the peak, and then bought it locally a few months later.
        • rstarast
          1 hour ago
          First sell the gold, then buy same amount at a slightly lower price a bit later (on average)
          • xvedejas
            1 hour ago
            > the price of gold continued to rise as they did this

            This would mean they sold low and bought high, right?

            • DaedalusII
              1 hour ago
              price of gold dropped from $5500 to $4600 in the last few weeks then came back. all is possible
              • mort96
                41 minutes ago
                Then they didn't make money as a result of the price rising, which is what the original commenter and article claimed.
            • renewiltord
              1 hour ago
              It’s because they’re using European mathematics. You wouldn’t understand if you’re American.

              In reality the article is attempting to account for a capital gain pnl accounting for taxes.

            • coldtea
              57 minutes ago
              Usually that's how you want your selling and buying combos to be...
          • berkes
            1 hour ago
            But the gold price has been rising (on average) a lot over the period July 2025 to January 2026
            • tonfa
              1 hour ago
              From the annual report, it looks like the headline number (XXB gain) is just because it's realized capital gain (which due to their reporting requirement appears in their annual report, unlike unrealized gains).

              They have ~same amount of gold between both years and it doesn't look like they took extra market risk.

          • wqaatwt
            1 hour ago
            Impossible to make anywhere close to that amount since they only sold 129 tonnes
    • kzrdude
      1 hour ago
      They sold the existing holdings and bought new of equivalent weight(?), so somehow they ended on profit on those moves.
      • tonfa
        1 hour ago
        The profit is just realizing the gains (resetting the cost basis for accounting purpose).
    • wodenokoto
      1 hour ago
      My guess is they buy before selling. An increasing market with a large buy might increase enough to allow for a profitable sell.

      On top of this, this is physical gold, so location of the gold must play into it as well.

    • chii
      1 hour ago
      Gold in hand is worth $15B in the bush?
  • rstarast
    1 hour ago
    This seems to be the source article (Reuters, March 24): https://www.reuters.com/business/french-central-bank-books-1...
  • KingOfCoders
    46 minutes ago
    Germany also needs to pull all gold. We have 1236t there.
    • zelphirkalt
      31 minutes ago
      Would be good to not depend on the US that much any longer, since they have proven to be such an unreliable "partner". Even in a non-Trump future one cannot rely upon some future election not resulting in some similar disaster. Better to pull out, before some hothead gets weird ideas about that gold.
      • vasco
        26 minutes ago
        Maybe the fact that US soldiers and military bases exist inside Germany's borders is slightly more important than where the gold is. First regain your sovereignty, I'd say.
        • zelphirkalt
          22 minutes ago
          I am guessing that these bases are one of the last things to go. Would be a major diplomatic incident. But then again Trump creates those for breakfast, so who knows when we finally have had enough.
  • tonfa
    57 minutes ago
    On that topic, video about the underground vault: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=txyKenOq5Pw
    • dbdr
      23 minutes ago
      Thanks for sharing this little hidden gem!
  • fenykep
    1 hour ago
    Site doesn't load for me. https://archive.is/ePH8u
  • aucisson_masque
    1 hour ago
    Not done for political reasons.
    • mort96
      28 minutes ago
      Would it count as a "political reason" if their risk management calculations crossed a threshold where it's worth it to move the gold back? I imagine such calculations are done and revised all the time and account for the perceived stability and reliability of a country.
    • NoLinkToMe
      1 hour ago
      And winning athletes and sports teams don't go to the white house due to 'scheduling conflicts'. And Amazon paid $75m for a Melania documentary because they saw real profit and need there. And Qatar bought Trump an airplane because it was important for his work. And everyone nominates him for a nobel prize because he ends wars and doesn't get into wars (we're just in a special military operation atm).
    • wqaatwt
      1 hour ago
      Unless one reads between the lines.
    • seydor
      53 minutes ago
      Of course not . absolutely definitely nothing to do with the mad king (who is great and handsome)
    • roenxi
      1 hour ago
      Are you suggesting they did this for technical or economic reasons? Like what? Is the US charging an unreasonable storage fee?

      I'd read the article, but the site seems to be down.

    • oyebenny
      1 hour ago
      What makes you say that?
      • berkes
        1 hour ago
        > BdF Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau said the decision to keep the new bars in Paris is “not politically motivated,” as the higher-standard gold bars it bought were traded on a European market.
        • wqaatwt
          1 hour ago
          Well they are probably just being diplomatic, there is no point in accidentally triggering the ape.
          • tonfa
            33 minutes ago
            To be fair, it's an ongoing process started in 2005 and which should finish in 2028. I doubt there was much political (tho the whole tariffs stuff probably made their job/decision easier when the gold price started diverging between NY and European markets). At this point it was cheaper than flying the gold to CH for recasting.

            (1784 tons moved to standardized holding over the years, 134 tons are now left to convert -- all stored in Paris)

          • avadodin
            38 minutes ago
            "We do not do this as a political statement —we simply want our gold ingots to exist next week."

            Still, a win does signal a dumb process behind the trade as the smart move would be to hedge with future options and/or futures.

            But then again, maybe they did hedge the trade and it's just not the right time or place to report it.

      • Ecco
        1 hour ago
        Reading the article is what made him say that.
  • fasdfplasjk5425
    44 minutes ago
    Looks like we're at the beginning of

    FBRICS

  • wolvoleo
    53 minutes ago
    We in Holland should do the same but our government (especially the right wing VVD) adores the US so they never bothered :(
  • shevy-java
    17 minutes ago
    Considering how Project2025 declared Europeans as enemy, it really is time to focus on more reliable partners than the current (and most likely future) USA version. Trump is a war-president - when he babbles about what Project2025 tells him to say, he stumbles over his own lies increasingly so, most likely because his brain no longer works that well. The recent "we can not extend health care and social care because we must wage wars" was kind of a slip-up of the real agenda - not that this is a real secret either, but even folks who voted for Trump thinking he cares about him (as if billionaires care about other people ever), should now realise the path the USA has decided to walk. ICE shooting down US citizens also show this - you protest, you get shot.
  • picsao
    1 hour ago
    [dead]
  • renewiltord
    1 hour ago
    I did this once. I bought Bitcoin on an exchange for $65k then I transferred it to my own wallet for a gain of $65k then I sold that for $65k for a total of $130k. Then I used the $130k on the exchange to buy Bitcoin again. Before I knew it, I was a trillionaire. Unfortunately the last time I tried to do it I bought my coins on FTX.

    When you buy it make sure you use a French account though. If you use any other account then transferring the Bitcoin will just get you a Bitcoin not both the Bitcoin and the money. It’s European mathematics.